BodyMetricPrecision Health & Fitness

Half Marathon Time Predictor

Predict your 21.1 km half marathon finish time from 5K or 10K race results

Input Parameters
Real-time calculation updates dynamically as you adjust inputs. Values remain strictly local on your device.
Predicted Half Marathon Time5:01 min/km
1:45:54HH:MM:SS

Target pace: 5:01 per km (8.07 min/mile)

Speed
11.95km/h
Expected 10K Split
48:00HH:MM:SS
Clinical Responsibility Note: This calculation provides statistical estimations for informational and educational purposes only. It is not an individualized medical diagnosis or clinical prescription.

Mathematical Formula & Scientific Methodology

Formula: Riegel Half Marathon Projection

T(21.1K) = T1 × (21.0975 / D1)^1.06

Models endurance fatigue degradation over the 21.0975 kilometer distance.

Model Assumptions

  • Long runs of at least 15-18 km in training
  • Proper fueling and hydration

Variables & Standard Units

SymbolPhysiological MeaningUnit
T1Recent 5K or 10K finish time in secondsseconds
D1Distance of benchmark racekm

Scientific Limitations

  • If long runs have not exceeded 12 km, actual finish time may degrade beyond predicted time due to glycogen depletion

Peer-Reviewed Scientific Citations

Athletic records and human endurance (1981)

Riegel PS (1981) — American Scientist, 69(3), 285-290

Key Finding: T2 = T1 * (D2 / D1)^1.06. Fatigue exponent 1.06 models endurance degradation across running distances from 1500m to ultramarathon.

Frequently Asked Questions